Valuation Models

BTC Stock-to-Flow · BTC Power Law · XRP models · fair-value ensemble

Every model exposes its coefficients, training window, R-squared and residuals. Model outputs are labelled as model-derived ranges, never intrinsic value.

Bitcoin — Stock-to-Flow

missing
  • Circulating supply, annual issuance, S2F ratio
  • Model line vs actual price, log and linear
  • Halving markers, residual chart
  • Fixed vs refitted parameters

Widget scaffolded. Data provider not yet connected — no synthetic values shown to avoid mixing demo data with production.

Source: Not connectedMedium confidence · UTC · updated just now

Bitcoin — Power Law

missing
  • Log-log regression of price vs time
  • Midline with configurable bands
  • R² and residual distribution
  • Not a natural law · not a guaranteed floor

Widget scaffolded. Data provider not yet connected — no synthetic values shown to avoid mixing demo data with production.

Source: Not connectedMedium confidence · UTC · updated just now

XRP — Circulating Supply Model

missing
  • Total, circulating, escrowed, non-circulating supply
  • Estimated monthly escrow release
  • Burned XRP · float-adjusted mcap

Widget scaffolded. Data provider not yet connected — no synthetic values shown to avoid mixing demo data with production.

Source: Not connectedMedium confidence · UTC · updated just now

XRP — Network Activity Model

missing
  • Configurable inputs: addresses, tx count, payment volume, DEX volume, fees
  • Model-implied range, deviation and CI
  • Variable importance and backtest performance

Widget scaffolded. Data provider not yet connected — no synthetic values shown to avoid mixing demo data with production.

Source: Not connectedMedium confidence · UTC · updated just now

XRP — NVT-Style Valuation

missing
  • Market cap ÷ payment volume
  • Smoothed NVT and historical percentile
  • Configurable transaction-category filter

Widget scaffolded. Data provider not yet connected — no synthetic values shown to avoid mixing demo data with production.

Source: Not connectedMedium confidence · UTC · updated just now

Fair-Value Ensemble

missing
  • Separate BTC and XRP ensembles
  • Median, mean, lower/upper estimate
  • Model agreement score, active model count, admin weights

Widget scaffolded. Data provider not yet connected — no synthetic values shown to avoid mixing demo data with production.

Source: Not connectedMedium confidence · UTC · updated just now